normanfenton(25)•in #bayes•1436 days agoBayes, Likelihood ratio and DNA evidenceThis 28 min lecture (which I gave at the 2021 US National Forensic College meeting in New York) provides an introductory overview of Bayes and likelihood ratios...40$0.03normanfenton(25)•in bayes•1436 days agoBayes, Likelihood ratio and DNA evidenceThis 28 min lecture (which I gave at the 2021 US National Forensic College meeting in New York) provides an introductory overview of Bayes and likelihood ratios...40$0.03
normanfenton(25)•in #censorship•1445 days agoRoutine censorship of dissenting voicesGiven the current scale of censorship against anybody who challenges the 'accepted narrative' (epecially on Covid), the following updates aren't especially sign...211$2.10normanfenton(25)•in censorship•1445 days agoRoutine censorship of dissenting voicesGiven the current scale of censorship against anybody who challenges the 'accepted narrative' (epecially on Covid), the following updates aren't especially sign...211$2.10
normanfenton(25)•in #covid•1467 days agoComputing years of lost life: why actuaries really need to be able to do counterfactual reasoning Hugh Osmond recently put out this interesting twitter thread: Although the average age of death in the UK is around 82, if a person reaches 82 then on aver...491$3.88normanfenton(25)•in covid•1467 days agoComputing years of lost life: why actuaries really need to be able to do counterfactual reasoning Hugh Osmond recently put out this interesting twitter thread: Although the average age of death in the UK is around 82, if a person reaches 82 then on aver...491$3.88
normanfenton(25)•in #covid•1485 days agoEvaluation of vaccine efficacy and safety must take account of early treatmentsWe've been focusing on all-cause mortality as the key indicator of vaccine safety and effectiveness: if, for a particular age group over a reasonable period of ...677$5.25normanfenton(25)•in covid•1485 days agoEvaluation of vaccine efficacy and safety must take account of early treatmentsWe've been focusing on all-cause mortality as the key indicator of vaccine safety and effectiveness: if, for a particular age group over a reasonable period of ...677$5.25
normanfenton(25)•in #hive-196427•1515 days agoConcerns about claims of Covid-19 vaccination effectiveness and safetyOur research team have now analysed the ONS England November 2021 mortality data. We conclude that, despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness, t...1697$61.36normanfenton(25)•in hive-196427•1515 days agoConcerns about claims of Covid-19 vaccination effectiveness and safetyOur research team have now analysed the ONS England November 2021 mortality data. We conclude that, despite seeming evidence to support vaccine effectiveness, t...1697$61.36
normanfenton(25)•in #covid-19•1528 days agoThe European Union's highly misleading chart and message about vaccine effectivenessThe European Commission has just posted this highly misleading chart and accompanying message which suggests that vaccinations drastically reduce the covid deat...1296$40.16normanfenton(25)•in covid-19•1528 days agoThe European Union's highly misleading chart and message about vaccine effectivenessThe European Commission has just posted this highly misleading chart and accompanying message which suggests that vaccinations drastically reduce the covid deat...1296$40.16
normanfenton(25)•in #introduction•1529 days agoIntroduce Myself - My first post on HiveI am Professor of Risk Information Management at Queen Mary University of London and a Director of Agena, a company that specialises in risk management for crit...1217$24.58normanfenton(25)•in introduction•1529 days agoIntroduce Myself - My first post on HiveI am Professor of Risk Information Management at Queen Mary University of London and a Director of Agena, a company that specialises in risk management for crit...1217$24.58
