pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #covid19•2143 days agoBetter Estimates of Covid19 death ratesWhat is the real death rate of Covid-19? I want to estimate the per-age fatality rate of different countries: China, South Korea and Italy. South Korea has 72 d...10$0.02pasha-kamyshev(25)•in covid19•2143 days agoBetter Estimates of Covid19 death ratesWhat is the real death rate of Covid-19? I want to estimate the per-age fatality rate of different countries: China, South Korea and Italy. South Korea has 72 d...10$0.02
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #coronavirus•2148 days agoBasic Coronavirus PredictionsAttempting to predict things is hard, especially about the future. Right now I am doing some very rough estimates of where I expect things to be in two weeks. (...0$0.00pasha-kamyshev(25)•in coronavirus•2148 days agoBasic Coronavirus PredictionsAttempting to predict things is hard, especially about the future. Right now I am doing some very rough estimates of where I expect things to be in two weeks. (...0$0.00
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #rationality•2631 days agoPost-Rationality and Rationality, A DialogueA dialogue between R (rationalist) and P (post-rationalist) Any resemblance of these fictional characters to real people is not a coincidence because nothing is...62$0.00pasha-kamyshev(25)•in rationality•2631 days agoPost-Rationality and Rationality, A DialogueA dialogue between R (rationalist) and P (post-rationalist) Any resemblance of these fictional characters to real people is not a coincidence because nothing is...62$0.00
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #rationality•2708 days agoAumann’s Agreement RevisitedThis post is about reviewing some of the slightly counter-intuitive conclusions that Baysean probability theory has on agreement between people’s probabilities ...20$0.00pasha-kamyshev(25)•in rationality•2708 days agoAumann’s Agreement RevisitedThis post is about reviewing some of the slightly counter-intuitive conclusions that Baysean probability theory has on agreement between people’s probabilities ...20$0.00
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #ai•2830 days agoDouble Cruxing the AI Foom debateThis post is generally in response to both Paul Christiano’s post and the original foom debate. I am trying to find the exact circumstances and conditions which...30$0.00pasha-kamyshev(25)•in ai•2830 days agoDouble Cruxing the AI Foom debateThis post is generally in response to both Paul Christiano’s post and the original foom debate. I am trying to find the exact circumstances and conditions which...30$0.00
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #fermiparadox•2836 days agoFermi ParadoxThis post has two parts. First, I outline some way to evaluate arguments about the Fermi paradox which show ways that it is unlikely to be solved by, as well as...30$0.00pasha-kamyshev(25)•in fermiparadox•2836 days agoFermi ParadoxThis post has two parts. First, I outline some way to evaluate arguments about the Fermi paradox which show ways that it is unlikely to be solved by, as well as...30$0.00
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #cryptocurrency•2898 days agoEfficient Market Hypothesis ExplainedYou may have not have heard about the Efficient Markets Hypothesis or wondered how it would apply to different assets classes. However, if you have been in inve...0$0.00pasha-kamyshev(25)•in cryptocurrency•2898 days agoEfficient Market Hypothesis ExplainedYou may have not have heard about the Efficient Markets Hypothesis or wondered how it would apply to different assets classes. However, if you have been in inve...0$0.00
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #cryptocurrency•2918 days agoOn Crypto and The Classification BubbleThe post "How an Algorithm Feels from the Inside” is one the highlights of rationality. It has a lot packed into it, so here is my take on it. There is a progra...52$0.03pasha-kamyshev(25)•in cryptocurrency•2918 days agoOn Crypto and The Classification BubbleThe post "How an Algorithm Feels from the Inside” is one the highlights of rationality. It has a lot packed into it, so here is my take on it. There is a progra...52$0.03
pasha-kamyshev(25)•in #introduction•2918 days agoIntroductionHello, my name is Pasha. I am a software developer currently at Microsoft interested in cryptocurrency, rationality and AI Safety. My links: Life In A Free Mark...1114$0.03pasha-kamyshev(25)•in introduction•2918 days agoIntroductionHello, my name is Pasha. I am a software developer currently at Microsoft interested in cryptocurrency, rationality and AI Safety. My links: Life In A Free Mark...1114$0.03