Possible trajectories of asteroid 2024 YR4
There is more data on the asteroid 2024 YR4, which has between 2 and 3% chances of impact with the Earth, they are already doing all kinds of calculations, now apparently it is becoming fashionable, what would happen if the asteroid crashes into a city or into your country, even if it is not in the expected line of the asteroid's trajectory.
There are press articles that are a bit exaggerated, because about the trajectory they say that the Canary Islands would be very far away, but there are other possible trajectories, this is the one most assumed by the majority, but there was already some that could include, I already said the area of the Canary Islands further north, but in principle this would be the main one.
I put all this in quotes because we still have very little data on the asteroid, and that is why an international team of astronomers has requested 4 hours of observation from the James Webb space telescope, so we have to move it to be able to examine this asteroid, it is important because the James Webb is not a survey observatory.
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James Webb is like a sniper, in the movies snipers appear as lone wolves, but in reality they are not normally alone, because they go with another person, it could be more, it could be a team of three, even four, but at least they go with another person, who is the scout, the scout with the binoculars, goes looking for the objectives, tells the Sniper what the determined objective is and it is the Sniper who executes the operation.
James Webb is a bit like that, James Webb is the sniper, he is not the one who searches for the objectives, other observatories both on Earth and in space search for them and James Webb is the one who refines, the one who perfects that vision with his enormous ability to be able to see in detail that object in the cosmos that he wants to examine, in this case this asteroid 2024 YR4.
This observation or the first of these hours that astronomers have requested will be carried out at the beginning of the month of March and will help us know one of the fundamental details to respond to this asteroid, if it really is a threat to the Earth and its size, we need to know precisely how big it is, at the moment there is an estimate that it would be between 40 to 90 meters.
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We need to know several things, of course the trajectory, at the moment we have an estimate, for example, Tony Duum, created 200 trajectory options for the asteroid. These are the 200 possible options that currently exist, he calls them clones of the trajectories, of these 200 trajectory options for that December 22, 2032, three of them would impact the earth and one would impact the moon, we need to know in detail what the trajectory is going to be, for that we need more observations to calculate more precisely because In the end it may be that at the moment the risk level is between two and 3% but it may be that in the end the risk and it turns out that it is confirmed that it can have an impact or quite the opposite, that a zero risk level is reached and it is confirmed that it will pass by.
We need to know the trajectory and we need to know, above all, in the event of an impact, the size and composition, because it is not the same as a metallic asteroid, let's hope it is not metallic because if it is metallic we have it screwed up, and or if it is a conglomerate of rocks which is usually the most possible in this type of cases, in any case it would be quite catastrophic at a local level. It has the capacity to destroy a large city but a conglomerate of rocks for example would explode in the atmosphere and a metallic one would impact the ground.
The images without reference were created with AI
Le immagini senza riferimento sono state create con l'intelligenza artificiale
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