allentaylor
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Author Allen Taylor

Writer, fiction/nonfiction: author, editor, publisher. Christian. Weirdo.

Between Texas and Pennsylvania

https://authorallentaylor.com

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Joined in 12, 2021
allentaylor
· 4 days ago

The crypto market is rich with anticipation. We know a bull run is forthcoming and many market participants are waiting for it to happen any day now. But when?If we examine the past three bitcoin halvings and their associated bull runs, we can predict with some confidence when the market will begin to climb after the fourth bitcoin halving, which occurred on April 20, 2024.I recently looked back at the first three halvings to see when the first price lift occurred after the halving, those price lifts, of course, precipitating the bull run that followed. Here's what I found.First Bitcoin Halving and Crypto Bull RunThe first bitcoin took place in 2012. The exact date was November 28. However, the bull run didn't occur until several months later. In fact, the first price lift that led into the bull run occurred on April 11, 2013. What this tells us is that a bull run typically follows the halving, but not immediately. The first price spike leading into a crypto bull run occurred 4-1/2 months after the first bitcoin halving. We can get into the details about what other events occurred around that time to influence the bull run, but that isn't my point here. I'm simply looking at the timeline.The first crypto bull run began approximately 4-1/2 months after the first bitcoin halving.Second Bitcoin Halving and Crypto Bull RunThe second bitcoin halving occurred in 2016 followed by the second crypto bull run later that year. As you can see from the following chart, the bull run's first price lift occurred approximately 5-1/2 months after the halving. Third Bitcoin Halving and Crypto Bull RunThe third bitcoin halving is legendary. We saw bitcoin's price go to a new all-time high. However, that didn't occur until many months after the third halving.The third bitcoin halving took place on May 11, 2020. The first price lift occurred on August 10, 2020, three months after the halving.![](

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